XRP Price Prediction: Today’s News & Outlook

Jul 11, 2025 - 15:39
 0  1
XRP Price Prediction: Today’s News & Outlook

XRP is currently trading at approximately $2.61, following a moderate daily uptick. Market momentum is being shaped by a mix of institutional interest, regulatory developments, and technical factors—all of which feed into the broader narrative around price potential.

Drivers Behind XRP’s Price Movement

1. Whale Accumulation

Large holders—especially those controlling between 1–10 million XRP—have added around 50 million XRP to their wallets within just two days, now totaling approximately 4.29 billion XRP (~$6 billion). Historically, such concentrated buying often precedes price spikes.

2. Regulatory Trends

  • In the Ripple vs. SEC case, a court ruled that XRP token itself is not a security when sold programmatically, though some institutional sales were categorized differently. Appeals concluded with the SEC withdrawing, and a tailored settlement is now expected.

  • Ripple has also filed for a national banking license and Federal Reserve master account, signaling a push into regulated financial services.

Such developments remove regulatory uncertainty—a key potential catalyst for price appreciation.

3. Technological Innovation

Ripple's introduction of an EVM-compatible sidechain on the XRP Ledger enables Ethereum-style smart contracts and creates a bridge to a wider developer ecosystem. This strategic move positions XRP for broader on-chain utility and attracts dApp builders.

4. ETF Market Buzz

An XRP-focused spot ETF is gaining traction. Polymarket, for instance, estimates an 87% probability of an XRP ETF approval this year. Analysts from Bitget have even predicted XRP could reach $5 by end‑2025, supported by institutional inflows.

Price Forecast Table (2025 – Mid 2026)

Timeframe Low ($) Average ($) High / Target ($) Drivers
July 2025 1.72 3.38 3.40 EVM sidechain, breakout above $2.25 
End‑2025 3.00 5.50 8.00–15.00 ETF approval, institutional adoption
2026 4.96 5.64 8.00 Global payments expansion

Detailed Outlook by Timeframe

Short-Term (Next Few Weeks)

Analysts anticipate XRP breaking above $2.25–$2.30, driven by technical setups (symmetrical triangle, RSI expansion). If momentum holds, XRP could climb to $3.00–$3.40.

Medium-Term (By Year-End 2025)

With ETF tailwinds and institutional adoption, Bitget’s analysis projects up to $5, while Standard Chartered even suggests a stretch to $5.50–$6 . A complete legal resolution would accelerate that trajectory.

Long-Term (2026–2028)

Standard Chartered forecasts XRP reaching $8 by 2026, and potentially $12–$15 by 2028 if Ripple captures global cross-border payments share. Key drivers include settlement infrastructure growth and ecosystem expansion.

Summary in 

  1. Whales are accumulating large positions, signaling confidence.

  2. Regulatory clarity is improving via SEC settlement and banking license efforts.

  3. Smart contract abilities are activated through the new EVM-compatible sidechain.

  4. ETF chatter is heating up, with high likelihood of approval fueling institutional flows.

  5. Technical indicators point to a breakout if key resistance is surpassed.

Summary of Key Predictions

Forecast Source Target Price Timeline
CoinDesk + Van de Poppe $2.85–$3.40 By early July 2025 
Standard Chartered $5.50 By end of 2025
Bold analysts (CMC, Bitget) $8–$15 2025–2026
Cryptopolitan / AI models Avg. $3.38, Max $4.06 July–Dec 2025

Risks & Considerations

  • Regulatory delays could stall progress, especially around SEC or banking approvals.

  • Macro market pullbacks, like Bitcoin declines, could impact altcoin prices.

  • Technical rejection at resistance zones could lead to a retest of $2.00–$2.20.

  • Competition from other coins (e.g., Cardano or Solana) could limit XRP’s share.

Final Thoughts

XRP’s near-term prospects look promising. Whale accumulation, strong technical setups, and ecosystem upgrades suggest a breakout above $2.30 is likely. Medium-term, the ETF narrative and institutional flows could propel XRP toward $5. Longer term, should Ripple’s strategy materialize, tariffs on global payments could lift XRP to $8–$15 in the 2026–28 window.